Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003706 0.004050 0.004417 0.004841 0.005318 0.005838 0.006452
2025-11-09 0.003131 0.003613 0.004167 0.004853 0.005687 0.006678 0.007956
2025-11-16 0.002765 0.003306 0.003956 0.004802 0.005889 0.007258 0.009144
2025-11-23 0.002480 0.003047 0.003750 0.004704 0.005983 0.007674 0.010135
2025-11-30 0.002316 0.002914 0.003679 0.004753 0.006253 0.008326 0.011506
2025-12-07 0.002217 0.002850 0.003686 0.004896 0.006652 0.009186 0.013281
2025-12-14 0.002064 0.002699 0.003556 0.004831 0.006740 0.009596 0.014416
2025-12-21 0.001919 0.002548 0.003413 0.004730 0.006756 0.009889 0.015390
2025-12-28 0.001809 0.002435 0.003314 0.004681 0.006841 0.010289 0.016589
2026-01-04 0.001733 0.002366 0.003271 0.004711 0.007049 0.010904 0.018247
2026-01-11 0.001640 0.002266 0.003175 0.004649 0.007097 0.011250 0.019458
2026-01-18 0.001564 0.002184 0.003100 0.004612 0.007182 0.011665 0.020856
2026-01-25 0.001480 0.002091 0.003006 0.004545 0.007222 0.012027 0.022266
2026-02-01 0.001420 0.002031 0.002960 0.004555 0.007401 0.012675 0.024409
2026-02-08 0.001353 0.001955 0.002885 0.004508 0.007470 0.013118 0.026186
2026-02-15 0.001283 0.001870 0.002789 0.004418 0.007449 0.013377 0.027590
2026-02-22 0.001245 0.001835 0.002772 0.004463 0.007687 0.014192 0.030491
2026-03-01 0.001227 0.001830 0.002802 0.004595 0.008104 0.015439 0.034778
2026-03-08 0.001175 0.001767 0.002731 0.004536 0.008134 0.015846 0.036938
2026-03-15 0.001121 0.001697 0.002646 0.004442 0.008085 0.016068 0.038636
2026-03-22 0.001078 0.001645 0.002587 0.004397 0.008132 0.016517 0.041102
2026-03-29 0.001050 0.001616 0.002569 0.004425 0.008337 0.017368 0.045020
2026-04-05 0.001011 0.001565 0.002508 0.004367 0.008348 0.017750 0.047555